Scouting Report
Nick Suzuki holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Suzuki on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 47.2% vs Suzuki 50.6% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Suzuki leads 13-8 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Pettersson 64.1%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 69.7%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 64.0%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 65.9%
65.9%
34.1%
Pettersson
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
13
(21 meetings)
8
13
Pettersson
Suzuki
Last 10: Pettersson 4-6 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
4
Pettersson
Suzuki
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
3
4
Pettersson
Suzuki
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
4
5
Pettersson
Suzuki
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (834)
51.3% (945)
-5.4%
Power Play
55.1% (256)
50.7% (282)
+4.4%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (112)
40.3% (67)
-4.6%
On even strength, Suzuki has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Pettersson is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (421).
Pettersson shoots left. Suzuki is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (976).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Suzuki
Home
49.1% (607)
51.0% (637)
Away
44.7% (595)
50.2% (657)
By Period
Pettersson
Suzuki
P1
45.5%
53.1%
P2
48.0%
47.4%
P3
47.1%
51.3%
OT
47.1%
48.6%
Final 5 min
43.6%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
44.0%▼
52.5%
46.9%
Suzuki
54.0%▼
56.5%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 2 | 15:41 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 2 | 11:47 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 2 | 11:41 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 2 | 11:33 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 2 | 05:40 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 2 | 00:06 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 1 | 07:12 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 1 | 00:10 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 18:43 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 17:12 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 09:19 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 10:31 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 10:08 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 02:29 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 05:50 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 02:42 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |