Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Pettersson wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 47.2% vs Zacha 51.8% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 80.5%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 67.4%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 73.1%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 67.4%
67.4%
32.6%
Pettersson
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Pettersson
Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
3
Pettersson
Zacha
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (834)
53.0% (700)
-7.1%
Power Play
55.1% (256)
54.1% (109)
+1.0%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (112)
39.2% (74)
-3.5%
On even strength, Zacha has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Pettersson is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (779).
Pettersson shoots left. Zacha is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (520).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Zacha
Home
49.1% (607)
51.6% (438)
Away
44.7% (595)
52.4% (445)
By Period
Pettersson
Zacha
P1
45.5%
57.0%
P2
48.0%
48.9%
P3
47.1%
50.5%
OT
47.1%
42.1%
Final 5 min
43.6%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
44.0%▼
52.5%
46.9%
Zacha
56.0%▲
50.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | 3 | 16:04 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 3 | 07:34 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 2 | 14:22 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |