Scouting Report
Elias Pettersson holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Pettersson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 47.2% vs Greene 43.9% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 85.6%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 57.2%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 62.6%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 72.1%
72.1%
27.9%
Pettersson
Greene
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Pettersson
Greene
Last 8: Pettersson 6-2 Greene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
4
0
Pettersson
Greene
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Greene
1
2
Pettersson
Greene
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pettersson
1
0
Pettersson
Greene
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Greene
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (834)
43.6% (512)
+2.3%
Power Play
55.1% (256)
46.8% (62)
+8.3%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (112)
40.1% (167)
-4.4%
On power play, Pettersson has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greene shoots right. Pettersson is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (421).
Pettersson shoots left. Greene is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (554).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Greene
Home
49.1% (607)
47.4% (382)
Away
44.7% (595)
38.4% (359)
By Period
Pettersson
Greene
P1
45.5%
46.8%
P2
48.0%
37.6%
P3
47.1%
45.2%
OT
47.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
43.6%
42.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
44.0%▼
52.5%
46.9%
Greene
26.0%▼
34.0%
43.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2026 | 3 | 01:36 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 2 | 05:46 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 1 | 19:00 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 1 | 12:11 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 6, 2026 | 1 | 12:00 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 17, 2025 | 3 | 19:52 | Defensive | Ryan Greene |
| Oct 17, 2025 | 1 | 12:31 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 17, 2025 | 1 | 01:46 | Defensive | Ryan Greene |