Elias Pettersson vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

Elias PetterssonL vs Ryan Nugent-HopkinsL
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
2025-262024-252023-242022-232021-22 All Seasons
Scouting Report

These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.0% vs 46.4%). Look for Nugent-Hopkins on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Pettersson wins 45.0% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Pettersson 47.3% vs Nugent-Hopkins 47.3% (+0.6%)
H2H factor Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone Pettersson 50.1%
Defensive zone Pettersson 50.5%
Neutral zone Nugent-Hopkins 53.5%
Result Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Pettersson Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
2 - 7 (9 meetings)
2
7
Pettersson Nugent-Hopkins
Last 9: Pettersson 2-7 Nugent-Hopkins

Zone Breakdown

Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
2
4
Pettersson Nugent-Hopkins
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
3
Pettersson Nugent-Hopkins
3 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Pettersson
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (817)
46.0% (250)
+0.3%
Power Play
54.9% (255)
70.6% (17)
-15.7%
Penalty Kill
34.5% (110)
31.8% (22)
+2.7%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +15.7% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Pettersson is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (771).
Pettersson shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (185).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
49.1% (607)
50.3% (175)
Away
44.9% (575)
40.4% (114)
By Period
Pettersson
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
46.1%
48.5%
P2
48.1%
45.9%
P3
46.8%
46.5%
OT
47.1%
0.0%
Final 5 min
44.5%
41.7%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▼
53.5%
47.0%
Nugent-Hopkins
42.0%▼
48.5%
46.4%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Jan 17, 2026 3 14:21 Defensive Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
Jan 17, 2026 2 18:24 Defensive Elias Pettersson
Jan 17, 2026 2 15:40 Defensive Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
Jan 17, 2026 2 14:31 Neutral Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
Oct 26, 2025 3 13:56 Defensive Elias Pettersson
Oct 26, 2025 3 11:12 Neutral Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
Oct 11, 2025 3 19:07 Defensive Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
Oct 11, 2025 3 18:47 Neutral Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
Oct 11, 2025 1 09:25 Defensive Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
Pettersson's Profile | Nugent-Hopkins's Profile