Elias Pettersson vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.0% vs 46.4%). Look for Nugent-Hopkins on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Pettersson wins 45.0% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 47.3% vs Nugent-Hopkins 47.3% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 50.1%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 50.5%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 53.5%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Pettersson
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Pettersson
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 9: Pettersson 2-7 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
2
4
Pettersson
Nugent-Hopkins
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
3
Pettersson
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (817)
46.0% (250)
+0.3%
Power Play
54.9% (255)
70.6% (17)
-15.7%
Penalty Kill
34.5% (110)
31.8% (22)
+2.7%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Pettersson is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (771).
Pettersson shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (185).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
49.1% (607)
50.3% (175)
Away
44.9% (575)
40.4% (114)
By Period
Pettersson
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
46.1%
48.5%
P2
48.1%
45.9%
P3
46.8%
46.5%
OT
47.1%
0.0%
Final 5 min
44.5%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▼
53.5%
47.0%
Nugent-Hopkins
42.0%▼
48.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 14:21 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 18:24 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 15:40 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 14:31 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 13:56 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 11:12 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 19:07 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 18:47 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 09:25 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |