Elias Pettersson vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Elias Pettersson holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Nugent-Hopkins on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 24 meetings). Pettersson wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 46.0% vs Nugent-Hopkins 44.7% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Nugent-Hopkins leads 35-21 in 56 meetings
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 54.7%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 54.7%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 55.1%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 54.8%
45.2%
54.8%
Pettersson
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
21
-
35
(56 meetings)
21
35
Pettersson
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 10: Pettersson 3-7 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
8
5
Pettersson
Nugent-Hopkins
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
6
18
Pettersson
Nugent-Hopkins
24 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
7
12
Pettersson
Nugent-Hopkins
19 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (4,613)
44.8% (8,775)
+0.5%
Power Play
54.5% (554)
50.6% (844)
+3.9%
Penalty Kill
38.7% (243)
37.8% (880)
+0.9%
On power play, Pettersson has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Pettersson is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,640).
Pettersson shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (6,858).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
46.8% (2,757)
46.5% (5,361)
Away
45.2% (2,653)
42.8% (5,150)
By Period
Pettersson
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
44.7%
45.1%
P2
46.1%
43.9%
P3
47.4%
45.2%
OT
39.7%
43.2%
Final 5 min
45.7%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
44.0%▼
52.5%
46.0%
Nugent-Hopkins
42.0%▼
48.5%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 14:21 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 18:24 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 15:40 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 14:31 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 13:56 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 11:12 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 19:07 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 18:47 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 09:25 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 1 | 19:14 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 1 | 10:03 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 04:23 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 3 | 05:25 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 2 | 12:27 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 07:38 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 18:24 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 1 | 17:33 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 6, 2023 | 3 | 17:31 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |