Scouting Report
Sam Bennett holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Bennett on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Pettersson wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 47.2% vs Bennett 48.2% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 53.5%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 58.4%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 58.2%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 57.1%
57.1%
42.9%
Pettersson
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Pettersson
Bennett
Last 8: Pettersson 1-7 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
0
2
Pettersson
Bennett
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
1
2
Pettersson
Bennett
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bennett
0
3
Pettersson
Bennett
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (834)
46.4% (811)
-0.5%
Power Play
55.1% (256)
56.9% (153)
-1.8%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (112)
47.8% (46)
-12.1%
On penalty kill, Bennett has a +12.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Pettersson is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (779).
Pettersson shoots left. Bennett is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (679).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Bennett
Home
49.1% (607)
49.9% (553)
Away
44.7% (595)
45.7% (457)
By Period
Pettersson
Bennett
P1
45.5%
47.4%
P2
48.0%
46.8%
P3
47.1%
48.9%
OT
47.1%
75.0%
Final 5 min
43.6%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
44.0%▼
52.5%
46.9%
Bennett
46.0%▼
51.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | 2 | 14:41 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 3 | 12:44 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 3 | 12:39 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 2 | 17:15 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 2 | 09:35 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 2 | 07:39 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 2 | 07:17 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 2 | 02:23 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |