Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Pettersson wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 47.2% vs Monahan 52.5% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 13-7 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Pettersson 69.3%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 74.9%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 74.9%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 72.7%
72.7%
27.3%
Pettersson
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
13
(20 meetings)
7
13
Pettersson
Monahan
Last 10: Pettersson 4-6 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
2
6
Pettersson
Monahan
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
2
3
Pettersson
Monahan
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
3
4
Pettersson
Monahan
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (834)
53.0% (874)
-7.1%
Power Play
55.1% (256)
54.7% (161)
+0.4%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (112)
47.5% (101)
-11.8%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Pettersson is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (779).
Pettersson shoots left. Monahan is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (710).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Monahan
Home
49.1% (607)
53.8% (558)
Away
44.7% (595)
51.7% (578)
By Period
Pettersson
Monahan
P1
45.5%
49.5%
P2
48.0%
54.8%
P3
47.1%
52.8%
OT
47.1%
61.9%
Final 5 min
43.6%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
44.0%▼
52.5%
46.9%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 15:29 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 05:40 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 03:33 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 03:21 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 00:18 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 2 | 05:49 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 10:37 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 10:32 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 06:53 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 02:49 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 02:41 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 00:05 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 18:09 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 17:14 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 12:48 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 05:28 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |