Elias Pettersson vs Zack Ostapchuk

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Zack Ostapchuk holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Ostapchuk on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Pettersson wins 45.0% vs left-shot opponents — Ostapchuk shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Pettersson 47.3% vs Ostapchuk 50.6% (-3.8%)
H2H factor Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone Pettersson 83.3%
Defensive zone Pettersson 52.2%
Neutral zone Pettersson 60.3%
Result Elias Pettersson favored at 67.8%
67.8%
32.2%
Pettersson Ostapchuk
Head-to-Head Record
3 - 6 (9 meetings)
3
6
Pettersson Ostapchuk
Last 9: Pettersson 3-6 Ostapchuk

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Ostapchuk
1
3
Pettersson Ostapchuk
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
2
1
Pettersson Ostapchuk
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ostapchuk
0
2
Pettersson Ostapchuk
2 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Pettersson
Ostapchuk
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (817)
52.2% (312)
-5.9%
Power Play
54.9% (255)
33.3% (3)
+21.6%
Penalty Kill
34.5% (110)
43.9% (57)
-9.4%
On power play, Pettersson has a +21.6% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Ostapchuk shoots left. Pettersson is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (771).
Pettersson shoots left. Ostapchuk is 50.2% vs left-shot opponents (259).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Ostapchuk
Home
49.1% (607)
49.1% (161)
Away
44.9% (575)
52.1% (211)
By Period
Pettersson
Ostapchuk
P1
46.1%
50.8%
P2
48.1%
47.1%
P3
46.8%
54.5%
Final 5 min
44.5%
52.4%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%
53.5%
47.0%
Ostapchuk
54.0%
50.0%
50.8%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Jan 27, 2026 3 16:00 Defensive Elias Pettersson
Jan 27, 2026 3 06:05 Offensive Zack Ostapchuk
Jan 27, 2026 3 05:57 Defensive Elias Pettersson
Jan 27, 2026 3 01:21 Neutral Zack Ostapchuk
Jan 27, 2026 2 16:21 Offensive Elias Pettersson
Jan 27, 2026 2 14:47 Offensive Zack Ostapchuk
Jan 27, 2026 2 04:49 Offensive Zack Ostapchuk
Dec 27, 2025 3 04:53 Defensive Zack Ostapchuk
Dec 27, 2025 3 04:47 Neutral Zack Ostapchuk