Elias Pettersson vs Zack Ostapchuk

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Zack Ostapchuk holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Ostapchuk on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Pettersson wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — Ostapchuk shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Pettersson 47.2% vs Ostapchuk 50.6% (-3.9%)
H2H factor Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone Pettersson 82.2%
Defensive zone Ostapchuk 50.5%
Neutral zone Pettersson 59.7%
Result Elias Pettersson favored at 66.3%
66.3%
33.7%
Pettersson Ostapchuk
Head-to-Head Record
3 - 6 (9 meetings)
3
6
Pettersson Ostapchuk
Last 9: Pettersson 3-6 Ostapchuk

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Ostapchuk
1
3
Pettersson Ostapchuk
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
2
1
Pettersson Ostapchuk
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ostapchuk
0
2
Pettersson Ostapchuk
2 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Pettersson
Ostapchuk
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (834)
52.5% (320)
-6.6%
Power Play
55.1% (256)
33.3% (3)
+21.8%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (112)
42.4% (59)
-6.7%
On power play, Pettersson has a +21.8% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Ostapchuk shoots left. Pettersson is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (779).
Pettersson shoots left. Ostapchuk is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (262).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Ostapchuk
Home
49.1% (607)
49.1% (171)
Away
44.7% (595)
52.1% (211)
By Period
Pettersson
Ostapchuk
P1
45.5%
50.4%
P2
48.0%
46.8%
P3
47.1%
55.1%
Final 5 min
43.6%
53.3%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
44.0%
52.5%
46.9%
Ostapchuk
52.0%
50.5%
50.8%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Jan 27, 2026 3 16:00 Defensive Elias Pettersson
Jan 27, 2026 3 06:05 Offensive Zack Ostapchuk
Jan 27, 2026 3 05:57 Defensive Elias Pettersson
Jan 27, 2026 3 01:21 Neutral Zack Ostapchuk
Jan 27, 2026 2 16:21 Offensive Elias Pettersson
Jan 27, 2026 2 14:47 Offensive Zack Ostapchuk
Jan 27, 2026 2 04:49 Offensive Zack Ostapchuk
Dec 27, 2025 3 04:53 Defensive Zack Ostapchuk
Dec 27, 2025 3 04:47 Neutral Zack Ostapchuk