Elias Pettersson vs Zack Ostapchuk
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Zack Ostapchuk holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Ostapchuk on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Pettersson wins 45.0% vs left-shot opponents — Ostapchuk shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 47.3% vs Ostapchuk 50.6% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 83.3%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 52.2%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 60.3%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 67.8%
67.8%
32.2%
Pettersson
Ostapchuk
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Pettersson
Ostapchuk
Last 9: Pettersson 3-6 Ostapchuk
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ostapchuk
1
3
Pettersson
Ostapchuk
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
2
1
Pettersson
Ostapchuk
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ostapchuk
0
2
Pettersson
Ostapchuk
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Ostapchuk
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (817)
52.2% (312)
-5.9%
Power Play
54.9% (255)
33.3% (3)
+21.6%
Penalty Kill
34.5% (110)
43.9% (57)
-9.4%
On power play, Pettersson has a +21.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ostapchuk shoots left. Pettersson is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (771).
Pettersson shoots left. Ostapchuk is 50.2% vs left-shot opponents (259).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Ostapchuk
Home
49.1% (607)
49.1% (161)
Away
44.9% (575)
52.1% (211)
By Period
Pettersson
Ostapchuk
P1
46.1%
50.8%
P2
48.1%
47.1%
P3
46.8%
54.5%
Final 5 min
44.5%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
50.0%▼
53.5%
47.0%
Ostapchuk
54.0%▲
50.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2026 | 3 | 16:00 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 3 | 06:05 | Offensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 3 | 05:57 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 3 | 01:21 | Neutral | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 2 | 16:21 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 2 | 14:47 | Offensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 2 | 04:49 | Offensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 04:53 | Defensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 04:47 | Neutral | Zack Ostapchuk |