Elias Pettersson vs Zack Ostapchuk
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Zack Ostapchuk holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Ostapchuk on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Pettersson wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Ostapchuk shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 46.0% vs Ostapchuk 48.7% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Ostapchuk leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Pettersson 78.6%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 53.5%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 58.9%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 67.1%
67.1%
32.9%
Pettersson
Ostapchuk
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Pettersson
Ostapchuk
Last 10: Pettersson 3-7 Ostapchuk
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ostapchuk
1
4
Pettersson
Ostapchuk
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
2
1
Pettersson
Ostapchuk
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ostapchuk
0
2
Pettersson
Ostapchuk
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Ostapchuk
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (4,613)
49.1% (632)
-3.8%
Power Play
54.5% (554)
28.6% (7)
+25.9%
Penalty Kill
38.7% (243)
45.5% (66)
-6.8%
On power play, Pettersson has a +25.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ostapchuk shoots left. Pettersson is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,640).
Pettersson shoots left. Ostapchuk is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (482).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Ostapchuk
Home
46.8% (2,757)
48.6% (329)
Away
45.2% (2,653)
48.4% (376)
By Period
Pettersson
Ostapchuk
P1
44.7%
48.5%
P2
46.1%
46.4%
P3
47.4%
50.7%
Final 5 min
45.7%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
44.0%▼
52.5%
46.0%
Ostapchuk
52.0%▲
50.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2026 | 3 | 16:00 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 3 | 06:05 | Offensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 3 | 05:57 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 3 | 01:21 | Neutral | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 2 | 16:21 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 2 | 14:47 | Offensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 2 | 04:49 | Offensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 04:53 | Defensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 04:47 | Neutral | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 12:29 | Offensive | Zack Ostapchuk |