Elias Pettersson vs Zemgus Girgensons
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Elias Pettersson holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Pettersson wins 44.9% vs left-shot opponents — Girgensons shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pettersson 47.2% vs Girgensons 46.8% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 69.9%
Defensive zone
Girgensons 70.0%
Neutral zone
Girgensons 54.9%
Result
Zemgus Girgensons favored at 54.9%
45.1%
54.9%
Pettersson
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Pettersson
Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pettersson
1
0
Pettersson
Girgensons
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pettersson
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (834)
45.1% (164)
+0.8%
Power Play
55.1% (256)
50.0% (2)
+5.1%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (112)
45.2% (31)
-9.5%
On penalty kill, Girgensons has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Pettersson is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (779).
Pettersson shoots left. Girgensons is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (136).
Home / Away
Pettersson
Girgensons
Home
49.1% (607)
44.6% (92)
Away
44.7% (595)
45.7% (105)
By Period
Pettersson
Girgensons
P1
45.5%
44.2%
P2
48.0%
46.0%
P3
47.1%
45.1%
Final 5 min
43.6%
38.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pettersson
44.0%▼
52.5%
46.9%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.5%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2025 | 3 | 00:18 | Neutral | Elias Pettersson |