Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (62% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 50.6% vs Thornton 54.3% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 23-20 in 43 meetings
Offensive zone
Thornton 55.8%
Defensive zone
Thornton 56.8%
Neutral zone
Thornton 58.4%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 57.4%
42.6%
57.4%
Staal
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
23
-
20
(43 meetings)
23
20
Staal
Thornton
Last 10: Staal 8-2 Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
5
4
Staal
Thornton
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
8
5
Staal
Thornton
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
10
11
Staal
Thornton
21 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (10,347)
53.5% (6,640)
-3.0%
Power Play
53.5% (2,023)
57.2% (1,387)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (781)
56.7% (427)
-12.5%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Staal is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (8,336).
Staal shoots left. Thornton is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,220).
Home / Away
Staal
Thornton
Home
52.6% (6,558)
55.8% (4,271)
Away
48.6% (6,664)
52.8% (4,219)
By Period
Staal
Thornton
P1
50.0%
55.0%
P2
51.1%
53.3%
P3
50.4%
54.4%
OT
55.2%
56.4%
Final 5 min
50.6%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2020 | 2 | 15:45 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 2 | 11:50 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Feb 15, 2020 | 2 | 07:48 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 3 | 16:50 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 2 | 19:15 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 2 | 15:51 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 2 | 05:09 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 1 | 16:40 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 1 | 03:14 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 11, 2019 | 3 | 03:33 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 18, 2018 | 3 | 14:01 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Dec 18, 2018 | 2 | 08:10 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 18, 2018 | 1 | 04:33 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Dec 10, 2017 | 3 | 19:24 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Dec 10, 2017 | 3 | 03:36 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 10, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Jan 5, 2017 | 3 | 10:18 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 19, 2016 | 1 | 10:51 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Oct 24, 2015 | 2 | 06:02 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 7, 2015 | 3 | 15:20 | Defensive | Joe Thornton |