Scouting Report
Kyle Wellwood holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 50.6% vs Wellwood 52.3% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Wellwood 65.5%
Defensive zone
Staal 55.0%
Neutral zone
Wellwood 55.1%
Result
Kyle Wellwood favored at 55.2%
44.8%
55.2%
Staal
Wellwood
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Staal
Wellwood
Last 10: Staal 6-4 Wellwood
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wellwood
2
3
Staal
Wellwood
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
4
1
Staal
Wellwood
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wellwood
0
1
Staal
Wellwood
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Wellwood
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (10,347)
50.7% (369)
-0.2%
Power Play
53.5% (2,023)
61.4% (88)
-7.9%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (781)
50.0% (2)
-5.8%
On power play, Wellwood has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wellwood shoots right. Staal is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (4,886).
Staal shoots left. Wellwood is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (344).
Home / Away
Staal
Wellwood
Home
52.6% (6,558)
54.7% (243)
Away
48.6% (6,664)
50.7% (217)
By Period
Staal
Wellwood
P1
50.0%
46.2%
P2
51.1%
59.6%
P3
50.4%
51.7%
OT
55.2%
60.0%
Final 5 min
50.6%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Wellwood
54.0%▼
58.0%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2013 | 2 | 05:15 | Offensive | Kyle Wellwood |
| Apr 18, 2013 | 2 | 05:12 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Apr 18, 2013 | 1 | 12:49 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 30, 2012 | 3 | 14:26 | Offensive | Kyle Wellwood |
| Mar 30, 2012 | 1 | 12:20 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 30, 2012 | 1 | 04:47 | Defensive | Kyle Wellwood |
| Mar 18, 2012 | 1 | 04:08 | Offensive | Kyle Wellwood |
| Dec 9, 2011 | 3 | 05:36 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 9, 2011 | 2 | 16:50 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 9, 2011 | 2 | 09:42 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 9, 2011 | 1 | 12:03 | Neutral | Kyle Wellwood |