Scouting Report
Eric Staal holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Adam on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 52.3% vs Adam 45.7% (+8.5%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 75.2%
Defensive zone
Staal 65.5%
Neutral zone
Staal 77.3%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 74.1%
74.1%
25.9%
Staal
Adam
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Staal
Adam
Last 10: Staal 6-4 Adam
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Adam
1
3
Staal
Adam
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
0
Staal
Adam
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
3
1
Staal
Adam
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Adam
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (1,228)
43.3% (233)
+9.2%
Power Play
54.1% (281)
48.0% (25)
+6.1%
On even strength, Staal has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Adam shoots left. Staal is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,068).
Staal shoots left. Adam is 42.0% vs left-shot opponents (176).
Home / Away
Staal
Adam
Home
53.9% (825)
47.6% (126)
Away
51.1% (856)
40.6% (133)
By Period
Staal
Adam
P1
54.8%
47.8%
P2
54.1%
35.8%
P3
48.6%
47.7%
Final 5 min
53.0%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
52.5%
Adam
44.0%▬
43.5%
44.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2012 | 1 | 13:27 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Jan 6, 2012 | 1 | 02:53 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Nov 18, 2011 | 3 | 08:28 | Offensive | Luke Adam |
| Nov 18, 2011 | 3 | 05:02 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Nov 18, 2011 | 2 | 16:54 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Nov 18, 2011 | 1 | 08:09 | Offensive | Luke Adam |
| Oct 14, 2011 | 3 | 12:49 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Oct 14, 2011 | 2 | 10:37 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Oct 14, 2011 | 1 | 18:59 | Offensive | Luke Adam |
| Oct 14, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Luke Adam |