Scouting Report
Eric Staal holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Adam on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 50.6% vs Adam 42.8% (+9.6%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 77.0%
Defensive zone
Staal 66.4%
Neutral zone
Staal 76.3%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 74.6%
74.6%
25.4%
Staal
Adam
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Staal
Adam
Last 10: Staal 6-4 Adam
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Adam
1
3
Staal
Adam
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
0
Staal
Adam
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
3
1
Staal
Adam
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Adam
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (10,347)
40.3% (377)
+10.2%
Power Play
53.5% (2,023)
50.0% (26)
+3.5%
On even strength, Staal has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Adam shoots left. Staal is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (8,336).
Staal shoots left. Adam is 38.6% vs left-shot opponents (272).
Home / Away
Staal
Adam
Home
52.6% (6,558)
44.9% (187)
Away
48.6% (6,664)
37.6% (218)
By Period
Staal
Adam
P1
50.0%
42.1%
P2
51.1%
37.9%
P3
50.4%
43.2%
OT
55.2%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.6%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Adam
44.0%▬
43.5%
41.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2012 | 1 | 13:27 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Jan 6, 2012 | 1 | 02:53 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Nov 18, 2011 | 3 | 08:28 | Offensive | Luke Adam |
| Nov 18, 2011 | 3 | 05:02 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Nov 18, 2011 | 2 | 16:54 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Nov 18, 2011 | 1 | 08:09 | Offensive | Luke Adam |
| Oct 14, 2011 | 3 | 12:49 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Oct 14, 2011 | 2 | 10:37 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Oct 14, 2011 | 1 | 18:59 | Offensive | Luke Adam |
| Oct 14, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Luke Adam |