Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 50.6% vs Thomas 51.6% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 62.0%
Defensive zone
Staal 59.5%
Neutral zone
Staal 64.7%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 61.8%
61.8%
38.2%
Staal
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
8
(9 meetings)
1
8
Staal
Thomas
Last 9: Staal 1-8 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
4
Staal
Thomas
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
1
2
Staal
Thomas
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
2
Staal
Thomas
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (10,347)
51.1% (5,387)
-0.6%
Power Play
53.5% (2,023)
55.8% (927)
-2.3%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (781)
50.2% (697)
-6.0%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Staal is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (4,886).
Staal shoots left. Thomas is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,967).
Home / Away
Staal
Thomas
Home
52.6% (6,558)
50.9% (3,484)
Away
48.6% (6,664)
52.3% (3,527)
By Period
Staal
Thomas
P1
50.0%
50.7%
P2
51.1%
53.0%
P3
50.4%
50.8%
OT
55.2%
59.2%
Final 5 min
50.6%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Thomas
56.0%▲
47.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2023 | 3 | 09:28 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 3 | 01:33 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 2 | 02:46 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 3 | 03:02 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 2 | 10:50 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 2 | 07:12 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 26, 2022 | 1 | 18:44 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Feb 23, 2020 | 3 | 18:36 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 23, 2020 | 2 | 11:11 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |