Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.5% vs 50.5%). Look for Christensen on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Christensen 50.4% vs Eller 50.5% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Christensen 62.5%
Defensive zone
Eller 69.4%
Neutral zone
Eller 52.1%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Christensen
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Christensen
Eller
Last 6: Christensen 5-1 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Christensen
2
0
Christensen
Eller
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Christensen
1
0
Christensen
Eller
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Christensen
2
1
Christensen
Eller
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Christensen
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (799)
51.1% (10,321)
-1.9%
Power Play
55.9% (127)
52.8% (621)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (6)
46.6% (1,759)
+20.1%
On penalty kill, Christensen has a +20.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Christensen is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (597).
Christensen shoots left. Eller is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,142).
Home / Away
Christensen
Eller
Home
54.8% (478)
51.4% (6,122)
Away
46.0% (463)
49.7% (6,607)
By Period
Christensen
Eller
P1
49.2%
51.2%
P2
52.2%
50.1%
P3
49.5%
50.2%
OT
62.5%
56.7%
Final 5 min
46.4%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Christensen
48.0%▼
51.5%
50.5%
Eller
44.0%▼
51.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2011 | 3 | 03:04 | Neutral | Erik Christensen |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 2 | 09:18 | Neutral | Erik Christensen |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 2 | 09:03 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 2 | 00:45 | Offensive | Erik Christensen |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 1 | 13:46 | Offensive | Erik Christensen |
| Mar 18, 2011 | 2 | 09:30 | Defensive | Erik Christensen |