Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Haula on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kerfoot wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Haula shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 47.5% vs Haula 53.6% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kerfoot 70.0%
Defensive zone
Kerfoot 70.0%
Neutral zone
Kerfoot 70.8%
Result
Alexander Kerfoot favored at 70.3%
70.3%
29.7%
Kerfoot
Haula
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Kerfoot
Haula
Last 7: Kerfoot 1-6 Haula
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Haula
0
2
Kerfoot
Haula
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Haula
0
2
Kerfoot
Haula
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Haula
1
2
Kerfoot
Haula
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Haula
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (372)
54.7% (516)
-7.4%
Power Play
46.4% (28)
60.3% (126)
-13.9%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (7)
37.1% (62)
-8.5%
On power play, Haula has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Haula shoots left. Kerfoot is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (280).
Kerfoot shoots left. Haula is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (451).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Haula
Home
53.2% (216)
58.8% (386)
Away
39.8% (191)
48.4% (318)
By Period
Kerfoot
Haula
P1
43.2%
53.8%
P2
46.6%
55.2%
P3
51.0%
53.2%
OT
20.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
45.7%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
46.0%▼
54.5%
46.9%
Haula
42.0%▼
48.0%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2020 | 1 | 03:32 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 3 | 01:00 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 1 | 19:24 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 3 | 02:04 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 2 | 15:09 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 2 | 01:18 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 1 | 01:37 | Defensive | Erik Haula |