Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Haula wins 55.6% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 54.3% vs Carter 60.1% (-7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Haula 70.9%
Defensive zone
Haula 62.4%
Neutral zone
Haula 63.2%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 64.5%
64.5%
35.5%
Haula
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Haula
Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Haula
1
0
Haula
Carter
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
3
Haula
Carter
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
57.6% (684)
65.6% (262)
-8.0%
Power Play
46.0% (63)
68.3% (63)
-22.3%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (145)
50.5% (99)
-5.0%
On power play, Carter has a +22.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Haula is 55.6% vs right-shot opponents (288).
Haula shoots left. Carter is 63.9% vs left-shot opponents (335).
Home / Away
Haula
Carter
Home
56.3% (449)
64.3% (207)
Away
53.3% (443)
60.8% (217)
By Period
Haula
Carter
P1
58.4%
65.3%
P2
54.9%
60.1%
P3
52.0%
63.8%
OT
0.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
57.6%
65.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
42.0%▼
48.0%
54.8%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
62.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2024 | 3 | 10:43 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 2 | 03:13 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 1 | 07:16 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 1 | 04:31 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |