Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Kotkaniemi on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 49.7% vs Kotkaniemi 48.6% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 66.8%
Defensive zone
Haula 62.7%
Neutral zone
Haula 57.3%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 66.8%
33.2%
66.8%
Haula
Kotkaniemi
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Haula
Kotkaniemi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
1
2
Haula
Kotkaniemi
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Kotkaniemi
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (747)
47.3% (207)
+2.6%
Power Play
53.8% (78)
100.0% (3)
-46.2%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (66)
33.3% (3)
+9.1%
On power play, Kotkaniemi has a +46.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Haula is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (573).
Haula shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (116).
Home / Away
Haula
Kotkaniemi
Home
48.5% (468)
46.5% (129)
Away
51.1% (423)
50.0% (84)
By Period
Haula
Kotkaniemi
P1
52.5%
51.3%
P2
51.1%
46.1%
P3
45.9%
45.9%
Final 5 min
50.0%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.7%
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 15:03 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 02:52 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 08:23 | Offensive | Erik Haula |