Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Haula on neutral-zone draws (72% H2H, 18 meetings). Haula wins 53.0% vs right-shot opponents — Pavelski shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 52.3% vs Pavelski 54.1% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Haula leads 41-29 in 70 meetings
Offensive zone
Pavelski 78.2%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 62.5%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 70.8%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 70.7%
29.3%
70.7%
Haula
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
41
-
29
(70 meetings)
41
29
Haula
Pavelski
Last 10: Haula 7-3 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
12
15
Haula
Pavelski
27 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Haula
16
9
Haula
Pavelski
25 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Haula
13
5
Haula
Pavelski
18 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (7,726)
53.6% (8,791)
-0.8%
Power Play
57.3% (607)
58.2% (2,122)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (798)
50.9% (1,138)
-7.5%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Haula is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,304).
Haula shoots left. Pavelski is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,103).
Home / Away
Haula
Pavelski
Home
53.4% (4,520)
56.4% (5,998)
Away
51.3% (4,611)
52.0% (6,076)
By Period
Haula
Pavelski
P1
53.2%
53.5%
P2
51.4%
55.2%
P3
52.6%
53.9%
OT
43.5%
52.3%
Final 5 min
51.4%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
40.0%▼
46.5%
52.3%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 2 | 09:34 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 2 | 03:31 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 14, 2024 | 1 | 12:04 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 3 | 19:17 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 2 | 08:37 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 1 | 05:26 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 2 | 07:43 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Jan 27, 2023 | 2 | 07:37 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 3 | 16:31 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 2 | 07:23 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Oct 16, 2021 | 2 | 18:47 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Apr 1, 2021 | 3 | 17:27 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 1, 2021 | 3 | 05:26 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 30, 2021 | 3 | 13:26 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 30, 2021 | 2 | 19:51 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 30, 2021 | 2 | 16:31 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Mar 30, 2021 | 2 | 13:34 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 21, 2021 | OT | 04:37 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 21, 2021 | OT | 01:09 | Offensive | Erik Haula |