Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on neutral-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 49.7% vs Tavares 56.8% (-7.6%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 9-1 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Haula 77.8%
Defensive zone
Haula 87.9%
Neutral zone
Haula 78.9%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 78.5%
78.5%
21.5%
Haula
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
9
(10 meetings)
1
9
Haula
Tavares
Last 10: Haula 1-9 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
3
Haula
Tavares
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
6
Haula
Tavares
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (747)
57.7% (975)
-7.8%
Power Play
53.8% (78)
56.0% (250)
-2.2%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (66)
52.2% (23)
-9.8%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Haula is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (573).
Haula shoots left. Tavares is 60.8% vs left-shot opponents (811).
Home / Away
Haula
Tavares
Home
48.5% (468)
57.4% (636)
Away
51.1% (423)
57.2% (612)
By Period
Haula
Tavares
P1
52.5%
57.5%
P2
51.1%
56.9%
P3
45.9%
57.5%
OT
50.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
50.0%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.7%
Tavares
48.0%▼
54.0%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 09:18 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 04:31 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 19:26 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 11:46 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 11:47 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 00:15 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 04:05 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |