Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 49.7% vs Staal 54.6% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Haula 59.1%
Defensive zone
Haula 56.4%
Neutral zone
Haula 59.5%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 58.2%
58.2%
41.8%
Haula
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Haula
Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Haula
Staal
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Haula
Staal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (747)
56.2% (989)
-6.3%
Power Play
53.8% (78)
66.0% (159)
-12.2%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (66)
42.7% (253)
-0.3%
On power play, Staal has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Haula is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (573).
Haula shoots left. Staal is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (970).
Home / Away
Haula
Staal
Home
48.5% (468)
55.4% (699)
Away
51.1% (423)
54.4% (702)
By Period
Haula
Staal
P1
52.5%
55.7%
P2
51.1%
54.7%
P3
45.9%
53.4%
OT
50.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.7%
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2025 | 1 | 15:56 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 05:12 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 16:45 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |