Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +13.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 49.7% vs Hayes 42.7% (+13.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hayes 51.1%
Defensive zone
Haula 63.5%
Neutral zone
Haula 53.4%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 58.5%
58.5%
41.5%
Haula
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Haula
Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Haula
1
0
Haula
Hayes
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
1
Haula
Hayes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (747)
31.9% (91)
+18.0%
Power Play
53.8% (78)
64.3% (14)
-10.5%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (66)
0.0% (1)
+42.4%
On penalty kill, Haula has a +42.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Haula is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (573).
Haula shoots left. Hayes is 39.7% vs left-shot opponents (58).
Home / Away
Haula
Hayes
Home
48.5% (468)
30.6% (49)
Away
51.1% (423)
40.4% (57)
By Period
Haula
Hayes
P1
52.5%
22.9%
P2
51.1%
40.0%
P3
45.9%
44.4%
Final 5 min
50.0%
30.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.7%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
35.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2025 | 3 | 13:50 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Nov 14, 2025 | 1 | 08:11 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |