Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 49.7% vs Celebrini 48.7% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Celebrini 59.6%
Defensive zone
Haula 64.5%
Neutral zone
Haula 55.1%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 55.1%
55.1%
44.9%
Haula
Celebrini
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Haula
Celebrini
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Haula
2
0
Haula
Celebrini
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Celebrini
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (747)
47.8% (993)
+2.1%
Power Play
53.8% (78)
54.1% (111)
-0.3%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (66)
56.0% (25)
-13.6%
On penalty kill, Celebrini has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Celebrini shoots left. Haula is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (573).
Haula shoots left. Celebrini is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (775).
Home / Away
Haula
Celebrini
Home
48.5% (468)
48.5% (538)
Away
51.1% (423)
48.7% (591)
By Period
Haula
Celebrini
P1
52.5%
48.1%
P2
51.1%
46.8%
P3
45.9%
51.0%
OT
50.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
50.0%
46.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.7%
Celebrini
48.0%▲
44.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2026 | 1 | 05:03 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Mar 24, 2026 | 1 | 04:58 | Neutral | Erik Haula |