Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 49.7% vs Duchene 51.8% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 77.1%
Defensive zone
Duchene 52.8%
Neutral zone
Duchene 57.3%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 67.2%
32.8%
67.2%
Haula
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Haula
Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Haula
1
0
Haula
Duchene
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Haula
1
0
Haula
Duchene
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (747)
51.1% (366)
-1.2%
Power Play
53.8% (78)
61.5% (65)
-7.7%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (66)
16.7% (6)
+25.7%
On penalty kill, Haula has a +25.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Haula is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (573).
Haula shoots left. Duchene is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (272).
Home / Away
Haula
Duchene
Home
48.5% (468)
51.7% (201)
Away
51.1% (423)
52.5% (236)
By Period
Haula
Duchene
P1
52.5%
49.0%
P2
51.1%
57.1%
P3
45.9%
49.2%
OT
50.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.7%
Duchene
56.0%▲
51.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 16:18 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 00:55 | Offensive | Erik Haula |