Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on neutral-zone draws (58% H2H, 19 meetings). Haula wins 53.0% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 52.3% vs Zibanejad 50.0% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Zibanejad leads 30-27 in 57 meetings
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 52.0%
Defensive zone
Haula 52.8%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 53.5%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Haula
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
27
-
30
(57 meetings)
27
30
Haula
Zibanejad
Last 10: Haula 5-5 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Haula
12
11
Haula
Zibanejad
23 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
7
8
Haula
Zibanejad
15 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
8
11
Haula
Zibanejad
19 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (7,726)
50.9% (11,756)
+1.9%
Power Play
57.3% (607)
52.2% (1,852)
+5.1%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (798)
41.6% (1,796)
+1.8%
On power play, Haula has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Haula is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,304).
Haula shoots left. Zibanejad is 50.2% vs left-shot opponents (10,710).
Home / Away
Haula
Zibanejad
Home
53.4% (4,520)
51.6% (7,603)
Away
51.3% (4,611)
48.3% (7,802)
By Period
Haula
Zibanejad
P1
53.2%
50.4%
P2
51.4%
49.7%
P3
52.6%
49.9%
OT
43.5%
48.7%
Final 5 min
51.4%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
40.0%▼
46.5%
52.3%
Zibanejad
58.0%▲
53.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2025 | 2 | 19:56 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 1 | 12:07 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 3 | 15:55 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 3 | 04:34 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 1 | 19:41 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 2, 2024 | 2 | 09:04 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 2, 2024 | 1 | 17:00 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 2, 2024 | 1 | 02:56 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Apr 3, 2024 | 3 | 17:22 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 3, 2024 | 1 | 04:27 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Mar 11, 2024 | 3 | 19:07 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Mar 11, 2024 | 3 | 17:26 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Mar 11, 2024 | 2 | 03:46 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 3 | 03:56 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Jan 7, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 3 | 04:32 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 3 | 04:29 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 1 | 19:26 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 7, 2023 | 1 | 10:52 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Dec 12, 2022 | 2 | 04:18 | Offensive | Erik Haula |