Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.7% vs 49.8%). Look for Haula on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 49.7% vs Backlund 49.8% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Haula 70.0%
Defensive zone
Backlund 70.1%
Neutral zone
Backlund 51.3%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 70.0%
70.0%
30.0%
Haula
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Haula
Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Haula
3
1
Haula
Backlund
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (747)
50.5% (944)
-0.6%
Power Play
53.8% (78)
51.5% (66)
+2.3%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (66)
47.1% (297)
-4.7%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Haula is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (573).
Haula shoots left. Backlund is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (938).
Home / Away
Haula
Backlund
Home
48.5% (468)
48.1% (636)
Away
51.1% (423)
51.4% (671)
By Period
Haula
Backlund
P1
52.5%
45.4%
P2
51.1%
54.1%
P3
45.9%
49.2%
OT
50.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
50.0%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.7%
Backlund
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2025 | 3 | 15:43 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 15:39 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 19:35 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 12:03 | Offensive | Erik Haula |