Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Haula on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 49.7% vs Dowd 48.6% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Haula 83.5%
Defensive zone
Dowd 69.2%
Neutral zone
Haula 60.7%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 58.7%
58.7%
41.3%
Haula
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Haula
Dowd
Last 7: Haula 6-1 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Haula
Dowd
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Haula
2
0
Haula
Dowd
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Haula
3
0
Haula
Dowd
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (747)
51.0% (671)
-1.1%
Power Play
53.8% (78)
0.0% (2)
+53.8%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (66)
41.5% (224)
+0.9%
On power play, Haula has a +53.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Haula is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (318).
Haula shoots left. Dowd is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (571).
Home / Away
Haula
Dowd
Home
48.5% (468)
48.2% (471)
Away
51.1% (423)
48.8% (426)
By Period
Haula
Dowd
P1
52.5%
48.3%
P2
51.1%
46.8%
P3
45.9%
51.0%
OT
50.0%
30.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.7%
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 19:25 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 09:40 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 1 | 13:10 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 1 | 12:48 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 1 | 11:27 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Erik Haula |