Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 49.7% vs Schmaltz 46.6% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 59.7%
Defensive zone
Haula 82.5%
Neutral zone
Haula 65.5%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 62.2%
62.2%
37.8%
Haula
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Haula
Schmaltz
Last 5: Haula 4-1 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Haula
Schmaltz
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Haula
2
0
Haula
Schmaltz
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Haula
1
0
Haula
Schmaltz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (747)
45.9% (697)
+4.0%
Power Play
53.8% (78)
47.9% (117)
+5.9%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (66)
48.0% (25)
-5.6%
On power play, Haula has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Haula is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (318).
Haula shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.8% vs left-shot opponents (593).
Home / Away
Haula
Schmaltz
Home
48.5% (468)
44.9% (434)
Away
51.1% (423)
47.7% (405)
By Period
Haula
Schmaltz
P1
52.5%
41.5%
P2
51.1%
46.7%
P3
45.9%
51.1%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.7%
Schmaltz
42.0%▼
46.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 03:57 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 01:37 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 10:22 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 13:27 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 11:28 | Defensive | Erik Haula |