Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Haula on offensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Haula wins 53.0% vs right-shot opponents — Carpenter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 52.3% vs Carpenter 48.5% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Carpenter leads 13-11 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Haula 64.7%
Defensive zone
Carpenter 70.2%
Neutral zone
Carpenter 59.5%
Result
Ryan Carpenter favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
Haula
Carpenter
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
13
(24 meetings)
11
13
Haula
Carpenter
Last 10: Haula 4-6 Carpenter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Haula
7
2
Haula
Carpenter
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carpenter
2
6
Haula
Carpenter
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carpenter
2
5
Haula
Carpenter
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Carpenter
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (7,726)
49.6% (2,027)
+3.2%
Power Play
57.3% (607)
41.5% (41)
+15.8%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (798)
43.9% (467)
-0.5%
On power play, Haula has a +15.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carpenter shoots right. Haula is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,304).
Haula shoots left. Carpenter is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,840).
Home / Away
Haula
Carpenter
Home
53.4% (4,520)
51.2% (1,290)
Away
51.3% (4,611)
45.5% (1,245)
By Period
Haula
Carpenter
P1
53.2%
49.6%
P2
51.4%
47.7%
P3
52.6%
48.0%
OT
43.5%
55.6%
Final 5 min
51.4%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
40.0%▼
46.5%
52.3%
Carpenter
48.0%▬
47.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2024 | 3 | 12:08 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 3 | 02:41 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 2 | 09:12 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 3 | 07:05 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 1 | 15:07 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 1 | 04:47 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 1 | 02:07 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 1 | 02:02 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 3 | 19:22 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 3 | 14:15 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 3 | 03:24 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 1 | 08:36 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Apr 23, 2021 | 2 | 13:48 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Apr 23, 2021 | 1 | 19:57 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Apr 21, 2021 | 3 | 06:18 | Offensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Apr 19, 2021 | 3 | 18:43 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Mar 28, 2021 | 2 | 02:18 | Defensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Mar 28, 2021 | 1 | 10:15 | Offensive | Ryan Carpenter |
| Oct 26, 2019 | 3 | 19:38 | Neutral | Ryan Carpenter |
| Oct 26, 2019 | 3 | 01:36 | Offensive | Erik Haula |