Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on defensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings). Haula wins 53.0% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 52.3% vs Kesler 55.9% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 13-10 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Haula 62.3%
Defensive zone
Haula 61.9%
Neutral zone
Haula 62.0%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 62.0%
62.0%
38.0%
Haula
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
13
(23 meetings)
10
13
Haula
Kesler
Last 10: Haula 5-5 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Haula
6
2
Haula
Kesler
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
1
9
Haula
Kesler
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Haula
3
2
Haula
Kesler
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (7,726)
56.4% (8,095)
-3.6%
Power Play
57.3% (607)
60.7% (1,437)
-3.4%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (798)
50.5% (1,908)
-7.1%
On penalty kill, Kesler has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Haula is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,304).
Haula shoots left. Kesler is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (7,986).
Home / Away
Haula
Kesler
Home
53.4% (4,520)
57.2% (5,732)
Away
51.3% (4,611)
54.7% (5,751)
By Period
Haula
Kesler
P1
53.2%
56.5%
P2
51.4%
55.9%
P3
52.6%
56.1%
OT
43.5%
46.0%
Final 5 min
51.4%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
40.0%▼
46.5%
52.3%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2018 | 3 | 19:14 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 19, 2018 | 2 | 10:08 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Feb 19, 2018 | 2 | 04:05 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Feb 19, 2018 | 2 | 00:48 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 19, 2018 | 1 | 14:08 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Feb 19, 2018 | 1 | 08:22 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Feb 14, 2017 | 3 | 13:57 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Feb 14, 2017 | 1 | 09:11 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 21, 2017 | 3 | 07:49 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 21, 2017 | 3 | 07:41 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 21, 2017 | 1 | 16:05 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 8, 2017 | 2 | 12:09 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Jan 8, 2017 | 1 | 19:09 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 8, 2017 | 1 | 18:54 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 24, 2015 | 2 | 18:25 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 18, 2015 | 3 | 05:48 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Dec 5, 2014 | 2 | 05:10 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Oct 17, 2014 | 3 | 17:53 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 17, 2014 | 2 | 16:54 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Oct 17, 2014 | 2 | 03:38 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |