Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on defensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 18 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 52.3% vs Kuraly 50.4% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Kuraly leads 24-14 in 38 meetings
Offensive zone
Haula 74.7%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 75.1%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 57.0%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 55.6%
44.4%
55.6%
Haula
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
24
(38 meetings)
14
24
Haula
Kuraly
Last 10: Haula 2-8 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Haula
8
4
Haula
Kuraly
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
4
14
Haula
Kuraly
18 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
2
6
Haula
Kuraly
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (7,726)
51.6% (5,161)
+1.2%
Power Play
57.3% (607)
56.4% (101)
+0.9%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (798)
44.4% (1,091)
-1.0%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Haula is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (5,827).
Haula shoots left. Kuraly is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (4,119).
Home / Away
Haula
Kuraly
Home
53.4% (4,520)
52.1% (3,205)
Away
51.3% (4,611)
48.8% (3,149)
By Period
Haula
Kuraly
P1
53.2%
51.2%
P2
51.4%
50.0%
P3
52.6%
50.2%
OT
43.5%
52.3%
Final 5 min
51.4%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
40.0%▼
46.5%
52.3%
Kuraly
66.0%▲
61.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2026 | 2 | 14:44 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 2 | 18:40 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 1 | 14:51 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 3 | 09:11 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 1 | 09:23 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 19, 2024 | 1 | 16:42 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 3 | 05:11 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 15:44 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 10:47 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 2 | 17:30 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 1 | 06:30 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 1 | 02:59 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 1 | 00:08 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 3 | 18:15 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 3 | 16:06 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Feb 14, 2023 | 3 | 00:45 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 30, 2022 | 2 | 16:36 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 30, 2022 | 2 | 03:22 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |