Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (65% H2H, 37 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 52.3% vs Monahan 51.2% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 42-38 in 80 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 66.6%
Defensive zone
Haula 64.4%
Neutral zone
Monahan 52.2%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 54.7%
45.3%
54.7%
Haula
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
38
-
42
(80 meetings)
38
42
Haula
Monahan
Last 10: Haula 4-6 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
13
24
Haula
Monahan
37 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Haula
12
8
Haula
Monahan
20 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Haula
13
10
Haula
Monahan
23 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (7,726)
51.1% (11,407)
+1.7%
Power Play
57.3% (607)
53.6% (2,582)
+3.7%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (798)
45.9% (772)
-2.5%
On power play, Haula has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Haula is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (5,827).
Haula shoots left. Monahan is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (9,335).
Home / Away
Haula
Monahan
Home
53.4% (4,520)
52.3% (7,387)
Away
51.3% (4,611)
50.2% (7,374)
By Period
Haula
Monahan
P1
53.2%
51.0%
P2
51.4%
51.7%
P3
52.6%
51.0%
OT
43.5%
53.5%
Final 5 min
51.4%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
40.0%▼
46.5%
52.3%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 10:40 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 06:51 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 19:32 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 2 | 17:32 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 2 | 03:01 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 3 | 16:32 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 3 | 01:17 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 2 | 10:54 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 2 | 08:31 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 2 | 08:12 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 2 | 05:05 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 1 | 17:11 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 1 | 11:10 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 1 | 11:04 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 21, 2024 | 1 | 05:06 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Jan 17, 2024 | 2 | 17:41 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Jan 17, 2024 | 1 | 12:48 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 11:47 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 00:52 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 3 | 01:43 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |