Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 49.7% vs Thompson 45.2% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 62.2%
Defensive zone
Thompson 59.1%
Neutral zone
Thompson 59.2%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 59.9%
40.1%
59.9%
Haula
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Haula
Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Haula
Thompson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Haula
1
0
Haula
Thompson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
2
Haula
Thompson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (747)
44.6% (661)
+5.3%
Power Play
53.8% (78)
48.4% (95)
+5.4%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (66)
33.3% (33)
+9.1%
On penalty kill, Haula has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Haula is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (318).
Haula shoots left. Thompson is 41.8% vs left-shot opponents (567).
Home / Away
Haula
Thompson
Home
48.5% (468)
45.7% (411)
Away
51.1% (423)
43.4% (378)
By Period
Haula
Thompson
P1
52.5%
47.7%
P2
51.1%
45.7%
P3
45.9%
40.5%
OT
50.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
50.0%
42.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.7%
Thompson
36.0%▼
40.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 14:17 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 01:37 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 01:17 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 1 | 13:13 | Defensive | Erik Haula |