Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +9.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Haula on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 52.3% vs Novak 43.0% (+9.7%)
H2H factor
Haula leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Haula 72.7%
Defensive zone
Haula 95.9%
Neutral zone
Haula 90.1%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 84.3%
84.3%
15.7%
Haula
Novak
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Haula
Novak
Last 10: Haula 7-3 Novak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Haula
Novak
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Haula
1
0
Haula
Novak
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Haula
5
1
Haula
Novak
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (7,726)
41.8% (1,568)
+11.0%
Power Play
57.3% (607)
51.5% (134)
+5.8%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (798)
50.0% (2)
-6.6%
On even strength, Haula has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Haula is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (5,827).
Haula shoots left. Novak is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,093).
Home / Away
Haula
Novak
Home
53.4% (4,520)
45.1% (831)
Away
51.3% (4,611)
40.2% (873)
By Period
Haula
Novak
P1
53.2%
43.7%
P2
51.4%
42.8%
P3
52.6%
41.1%
OT
43.5%
57.1%
Final 5 min
51.4%
40.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
40.0%▼
46.5%
52.3%
Novak
32.0%▼
39.5%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2025 | 3 | 02:04 | Offensive | Tommy Novak |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 2 | 16:57 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 2 | 14:28 | Neutral | Tommy Novak |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 2 | 02:10 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 01:13 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 1 | 11:29 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 1 | 05:08 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 2 | 13:53 | Offensive | Tommy Novak |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 2 | 05:22 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 3 | 08:49 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 2 | 02:17 | Defensive | Erik Haula |