Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Haula on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Haula wins 53.0% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 52.3% vs Johnson 49.7% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Haula leads 18-12 in 30 meetings
Offensive zone
Haula 51.4%
Defensive zone
Haula 73.1%
Neutral zone
Haula 64.5%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 60.4%
60.4%
39.6%
Haula
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
12
(30 meetings)
18
12
Haula
Johnson
Last 10: Haula 7-3 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
7
7
Haula
Johnson
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Haula
5
2
Haula
Johnson
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Haula
6
3
Haula
Johnson
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (7,726)
49.8% (5,396)
+3.0%
Power Play
57.3% (607)
54.6% (885)
+2.7%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (798)
42.3% (707)
+1.1%
On even strength, Haula has a +3.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Haula is 53.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,304).
Haula shoots left. Johnson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (4,785).
Home / Away
Haula
Johnson
Home
53.4% (4,520)
52.5% (3,460)
Away
51.3% (4,611)
46.8% (3,528)
By Period
Haula
Johnson
P1
53.2%
50.1%
P2
51.4%
50.6%
P3
52.6%
48.4%
OT
43.5%
42.5%
Final 5 min
51.4%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
40.0%▼
46.5%
52.3%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2023 | 3 | 18:52 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 5, 2023 | 3 | 18:32 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Nov 5, 2023 | 3 | 17:58 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 1 | 03:36 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Apr 13, 2021 | 3 | 09:59 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Apr 13, 2021 | 2 | 08:30 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Apr 13, 2021 | 1 | 09:06 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 2 | 18:48 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Feb 8, 2021 | 1 | 18:38 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Feb 8, 2021 | 1 | 02:49 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 2 | 02:48 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 5, 2020 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Jan 5, 2020 | 1 | 15:22 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Oct 6, 2019 | 2 | 15:40 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Oct 6, 2019 | 2 | 12:31 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Oct 6, 2019 | 2 | 09:15 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Oct 6, 2019 | 2 | 09:06 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Oct 6, 2019 | 1 | 18:14 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Oct 6, 2019 | 1 | 15:03 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Oct 6, 2019 | 1 | 12:55 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |