Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haula 49.7% vs Gourde 46.0% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gourde 51.9%
Defensive zone
Gourde 61.3%
Neutral zone
Gourde 58.6%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 56.6%
43.4%
56.6%
Haula
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Haula
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Haula
Gourde
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Haula
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haula
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (747)
47.2% (687)
+2.7%
Power Play
53.8% (78)
45.0% (20)
+8.8%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (66)
33.0% (88)
+9.4%
On penalty kill, Haula has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Haula is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (573).
Haula shoots left. Gourde is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (522).
Home / Away
Haula
Gourde
Home
48.5% (468)
44.4% (356)
Away
51.1% (423)
46.5% (439)
By Period
Haula
Gourde
P1
52.5%
42.2%
P2
51.1%
50.0%
P3
45.9%
44.5%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haula
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.7%
Gourde
48.0%▲
46.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2026 | 3 | 17:01 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 29, 2026 | 3 | 15:20 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |