Scouting Report
Evan Rodrigues holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Rodrigues on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Rodrigues wins 46.0% vs left-shot opponents — Chytil shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 45.7% vs Chytil 42.4% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 51.8%
Defensive zone
Rodrigues 72.9%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 68.9%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 72.1%
72.1%
27.9%
Rodrigues
Chytil
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Rodrigues
Chytil
Last 5: Rodrigues 4-1 Chytil
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
3
1
Rodrigues
Chytil
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
1
0
Rodrigues
Chytil
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Chytil
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (2,771)
42.1% (2,534)
+3.8%
Power Play
44.8% (281)
42.6% (204)
+2.2%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (209)
37.5% (24)
+4.6%
On penalty kill, Rodrigues has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Chytil shoots left. Rodrigues is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,312).
Rodrigues shoots right. Chytil is 43.4% vs right-shot opponents (913).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Chytil
Home
46.7% (1,745)
42.8% (1,337)
Away
44.3% (1,516)
41.5% (1,425)
By Period
Rodrigues
Chytil
P1
46.7%
40.9%
P2
45.9%
43.8%
P3
44.0%
41.4%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.1%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
44.0%▬
44.0%
45.6%
Chytil
54.0%▲
48.5%
42.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2021 | 2 | 15:19 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 3 | 06:36 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Jan 22, 2021 | 2 | 14:37 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Nov 4, 2018 | 1 | 11:59 | Defensive | Filip Chytil |
| Oct 6, 2018 | 3 | 10:18 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |