Scouting Report
Evan Rodrigues holds a +23.7% FO% edge overall. Rodrigues wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Barbashev shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 47.1% vs Barbashev 40.8% (+23.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 52.6%
Defensive zone
Rodrigues 84.6%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 75.3%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 84.6%
84.6%
15.4%
Rodrigues
Barbashev
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Rodrigues
Barbashev
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
1
0
Rodrigues
Barbashev
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Barbashev
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (651)
20.0% (45)
+27.8%
Power Play
47.2% (72)
42.9% (7)
+4.3%
On even strength, Rodrigues has a +27.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barbashev shoots left. Rodrigues is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (588).
Rodrigues shoots right. Barbashev is 20.0% vs right-shot opponents (15).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Barbashev
Home
47.9% (445)
23.1% (26)
Away
45.4% (346)
23.1% (26)
By Period
Rodrigues
Barbashev
P1
48.3%
36.4%
P2
47.0%
6.7%
P3
44.8%
20.0%
Final 5 min
50.3%
0.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
46.0%▼
49.0%
46.8%
Barbashev
24.0%▼
35.0%
23.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 19:19 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |