Scouting Report
J.T. Compher holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Rodrigues wins 46.3% vs right-shot opponents — Compher shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 47.1% vs Compher 51.3% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 62.6%
Defensive zone
Compher 52.9%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 53.5%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 55.8%
55.8%
44.2%
Rodrigues
Compher
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Rodrigues
Compher
Last 5: Rodrigues 2-3 Compher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Rodrigues
Compher
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
0
1
Rodrigues
Compher
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Rodrigues
Compher
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Compher
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (651)
53.1% (784)
-5.3%
Power Play
47.2% (72)
54.8% (31)
-7.6%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (68)
36.8% (95)
+0.0%
On power play, Compher has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Compher shoots right. Rodrigues is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (203).
Rodrigues shoots right. Compher is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (289).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Compher
Home
47.9% (445)
51.3% (452)
Away
45.4% (346)
51.5% (458)
By Period
Rodrigues
Compher
P1
48.3%
54.9%
P2
47.0%
49.0%
P3
44.8%
50.6%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.3%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
46.0%▼
49.0%
46.8%
Compher
50.0%▼
52.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 10:29 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 03:18 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 2 | 16:40 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Oct 15, 2025 | 1 | 07:40 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |