Evan Rodrigues vs Jansen Harkins
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jansen Harkins holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Rodrigues wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Harkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 46.0% vs Harkins 52.4% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Harkins 58.0%
Defensive zone
Harkins 85.9%
Neutral zone
Harkins 79.1%
Result
Jansen Harkins favored at 77.6%
22.4%
77.6%
Rodrigues
Harkins
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Rodrigues
Harkins
Last 5: Rodrigues 4-1 Harkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
1
0
Rodrigues
Harkins
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
2
0
Rodrigues
Harkins
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Rodrigues
Harkins
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Harkins
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (2,897)
51.1% (403)
-4.9%
Power Play
44.8% (299)
80.0% (10)
-35.2%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (220)
59.4% (69)
-16.7%
On power play, Harkins has a +35.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Harkins shoots left. Rodrigues is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,436).
Rodrigues shoots right. Harkins is 57.2% vs right-shot opponents (166).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Harkins
Home
47.1% (1,836)
55.7% (244)
Away
44.4% (1,580)
50.0% (238)
By Period
Rodrigues
Harkins
P1
46.9%
60.8%
P2
46.1%
45.1%
P3
44.4%
53.1%
Final 5 min
48.0%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
46.0%▼
49.0%
45.8%
Harkins
48.0%▼
50.5%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 14:47 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 2 | 13:07 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 11:12 | Neutral | Jansen Harkins |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 19:05 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 19:00 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |