Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Rodrigues wins 44.9% vs right-shot opponents — Beagle shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 46.0% vs Beagle 56.7% (-11.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 91.1%
Defensive zone
Beagle 51.5%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 75.6%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 74.3%
74.3%
25.7%
Rodrigues
Beagle
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Rodrigues
Beagle
Last 6: Rodrigues 1-5 Beagle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
1
2
Rodrigues
Beagle
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
0
2
Rodrigues
Beagle
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beagle
0
1
Rodrigues
Beagle
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Beagle
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (2,897)
57.5% (4,994)
-11.3%
Power Play
44.8% (299)
60.5% (119)
-15.7%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (220)
54.2% (1,554)
-11.5%
On power play, Beagle has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beagle shoots right. Rodrigues is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (980).
Rodrigues shoots right. Beagle is 56.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,004).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Beagle
Home
47.1% (1,836)
59.1% (3,228)
Away
44.4% (1,580)
54.5% (3,443)
By Period
Rodrigues
Beagle
P1
46.9%
57.4%
P2
46.1%
57.1%
P3
44.4%
56.2%
OT
50.0%
41.3%
Final 5 min
48.0%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
46.0%▼
49.0%
45.8%
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2020 | 3 | 19:17 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 24, 2018 | 3 | 18:36 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 24, 2018 | 2 | 19:38 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 24, 2018 | 2 | 16:09 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 19, 2018 | 1 | 19:45 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Feb 19, 2018 | 1 | 15:14 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |