Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Rodrigues on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Rodrigues wins 44.9% vs right-shot opponents — Carter shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 46.0% vs Carter 53.2% (-7.4%)
H2H factor
Rodrigues leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Carter 77.6%
Defensive zone
Carter 81.5%
Neutral zone
Carter 78.3%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 80.0%
20.0%
80.0%
Rodrigues
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Rodrigues
Carter
Last 10: Rodrigues 6-4 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
1
2
Rodrigues
Carter
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
5
1
Rodrigues
Carter
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
0
1
Rodrigues
Carter
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (2,897)
53.3% (8,728)
-7.1%
Power Play
44.8% (299)
57.3% (1,554)
-12.5%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (220)
46.3% (1,087)
-3.6%
On power play, Carter has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Rodrigues is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (980).
Rodrigues shoots right. Carter is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,429).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Carter
Home
47.1% (1,836)
54.7% (5,752)
Away
44.4% (1,580)
51.6% (5,632)
By Period
Rodrigues
Carter
P1
46.9%
53.6%
P2
46.1%
52.8%
P3
44.4%
53.1%
OT
50.0%
56.5%
Final 5 min
48.0%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
46.0%▼
49.0%
45.8%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2019 | 2 | 11:37 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Dec 11, 2018 | 2 | 08:22 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Dec 11, 2018 | 2 | 04:45 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 3 | 14:13 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 3 | 01:52 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 2 | 08:37 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 1 | 11:33 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 1 | 08:20 | Offensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 16, 2017 | 3 | 05:53 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Mar 16, 2017 | 1 | 04:32 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |