Evan Rodrigues vs Jesperi Kotkaniemi
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jesperi Kotkaniemi holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Rodrigues wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Kotkaniemi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 47.1% vs Kotkaniemi 48.6% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 63.1%
Defensive zone
Rodrigues 64.4%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 62.7%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
Rodrigues
Kotkaniemi
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Rodrigues
Kotkaniemi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
0
1
Rodrigues
Kotkaniemi
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
0
1
Rodrigues
Kotkaniemi
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Kotkaniemi
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (651)
47.3% (207)
+0.5%
Power Play
47.2% (72)
100.0% (3)
-52.8%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (68)
33.3% (3)
+3.5%
On power play, Kotkaniemi has a +52.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Rodrigues is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (588).
Rodrigues shoots right. Kotkaniemi is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (97).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Kotkaniemi
Home
47.9% (445)
46.5% (129)
Away
45.4% (346)
50.0% (84)
By Period
Rodrigues
Kotkaniemi
P1
48.3%
51.3%
P2
47.0%
46.1%
P3
44.8%
45.9%
Final 5 min
50.3%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
46.0%▼
49.0%
46.8%
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 15:21 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 05:12 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |