Scouting Report
Evan Rodrigues holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Rodrigues wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Thornton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 47.9% vs Thornton 46.2% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thornton 51.1%
Defensive zone
Thornton 58.8%
Neutral zone
Thornton 51.6%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Rodrigues
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Rodrigues
Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thornton
0
1
Rodrigues
Thornton
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
47.2% (318)
43.5% (161)
+3.7%
Power Play
52.4% (42)
50.0% (14)
+2.4%
On even strength, Rodrigues has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Rodrigues is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (284).
Rodrigues shoots right. Thornton is 38.8% vs right-shot opponents (67).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Thornton
Home
49.8% (215)
41.5% (106)
Away
44.4% (171)
47.8% (69)
By Period
Rodrigues
Thornton
P1
44.2%
50.8%
P2
53.5%
41.0%
P3
44.6%
40.0%
Final 5 min
51.6%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
44.0%▬
44.0%
47.4%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
44.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2021 | 3 | 05:06 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |