Scouting Report
Joe Veleno holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Rodrigues on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Rodrigues wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Veleno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 47.1% vs Veleno 50.9% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Veleno 55.5%
Defensive zone
Veleno 64.1%
Neutral zone
Veleno 54.8%
Result
Joe Veleno favored at 56.7%
43.3%
56.7%
Rodrigues
Veleno
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Rodrigues
Veleno
Last 5: Rodrigues 3-2 Veleno
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
0
1
Rodrigues
Veleno
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
3
1
Rodrigues
Veleno
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Veleno
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (651)
52.5% (278)
-4.7%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (68)
37.9% (29)
-1.1%
On even strength, Veleno has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Veleno shoots left. Rodrigues is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (588).
Rodrigues shoots right. Veleno is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (120).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Veleno
Home
47.9% (445)
49.6% (123)
Away
45.4% (346)
52.2% (184)
By Period
Rodrigues
Veleno
P1
48.3%
54.1%
P2
47.0%
48.8%
P3
44.8%
52.6%
OT
50.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
50.3%
60.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
46.0%▼
49.0%
46.8%
Veleno
52.0%▬
51.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2026 | 3 | 03:59 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 3 | 02:04 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 2 | 07:58 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 2 | 07:53 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 1 | 17:44 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |