Scouting Report
John Beecher holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Beecher on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Rodrigues wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Beecher shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 46.0% vs Beecher 51.7% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rodrigues 97.0%
Defensive zone
Rodrigues 53.4%
Neutral zone
Rodrigues 74.8%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 60.6%
60.6%
39.4%
Rodrigues
Beecher
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
8
(9 meetings)
1
8
Rodrigues
Beecher
Last 9: Rodrigues 1-8 Beecher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beecher
0
1
Rodrigues
Beecher
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beecher
1
6
Rodrigues
Beecher
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beecher
0
1
Rodrigues
Beecher
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Beecher
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (2,897)
52.9% (993)
-6.7%
Power Play
44.8% (299)
72.7% (11)
-27.9%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (220)
46.2% (221)
-3.5%
On power play, Beecher has a +27.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beecher shoots left. Rodrigues is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,436).
Rodrigues shoots right. Beecher is 48.6% vs right-shot opponents (516).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Beecher
Home
47.1% (1,836)
51.4% (562)
Away
44.4% (1,580)
52.2% (663)
By Period
Rodrigues
Beecher
P1
46.9%
53.8%
P2
46.1%
48.0%
P3
44.4%
53.8%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
48.0%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
46.0%▼
49.0%
45.8%
Beecher
40.0%▼
44.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 02:43 | Defensive | John Beecher |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 14:22 | Defensive | John Beecher |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 3 | 05:25 | Defensive | John Beecher |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 3 | 05:20 | Defensive | John Beecher |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 2 | 09:43 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 1 | 17:34 | Offensive | John Beecher |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 1 | 11:23 | Neutral | John Beecher |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 2 | 07:17 | Defensive | John Beecher |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 1 | 10:41 | Defensive | John Beecher |