Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Rodrigues on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Rodrigues wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Norris shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 47.1% vs Norris 49.9% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Rodrigues leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Norris 79.4%
Defensive zone
Norris 66.0%
Neutral zone
Norris 66.5%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 70.0%
30.0%
70.0%
Rodrigues
Norris
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
4
(14 meetings)
10
4
Rodrigues
Norris
Last 10: Rodrigues 7-3 Norris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
3
1
Rodrigues
Norris
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
5
1
Rodrigues
Norris
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Rodrigues
Norris
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (651)
50.5% (388)
-2.7%
Power Play
47.2% (72)
47.6% (84)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (68)
42.9% (7)
-6.1%
On penalty kill, Norris has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Rodrigues is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (588).
Rodrigues shoots right. Norris is 43.9% vs right-shot opponents (157).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Norris
Home
47.9% (445)
48.1% (233)
Away
45.4% (346)
51.6% (246)
By Period
Rodrigues
Norris
P1
48.3%
53.1%
P2
47.0%
49.2%
P3
44.8%
48.4%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.3%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
46.0%▼
49.0%
46.8%
Norris
54.0%▲
51.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | 3 | 16:57 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 3 | 11:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 3 | 00:14 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 2 | 16:58 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 2 | 16:49 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 2 | 12:07 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 2 | 12:02 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 2 | 05:41 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 2 | 01:54 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 2 | 01:49 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 1 | 15:05 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 1 | 14:49 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 1 | 10:21 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 2 | 16:35 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |