Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Rodrigues on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Rodrigues wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Norris shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 46.0% vs Norris 52.1% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
Rodrigues leads 12-7 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Norris 76.6%
Defensive zone
Norris 79.7%
Neutral zone
Norris 81.5%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 79.1%
20.9%
79.1%
Rodrigues
Norris
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
7
(19 meetings)
12
7
Rodrigues
Norris
Last 10: Rodrigues 7-3 Norris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
4
3
Rodrigues
Norris
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rodrigues
5
1
Rodrigues
Norris
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Rodrigues
Norris
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (2,897)
52.5% (3,089)
-6.3%
Power Play
44.8% (299)
53.4% (412)
-8.6%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (220)
45.4% (240)
-2.7%
On power play, Norris has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Rodrigues is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,436).
Rodrigues shoots right. Norris is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,321).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Norris
Home
47.1% (1,836)
53.1% (1,896)
Away
44.4% (1,580)
51.2% (1,845)
By Period
Rodrigues
Norris
P1
46.9%
55.5%
P2
46.1%
51.5%
P3
44.4%
50.1%
OT
50.0%
39.5%
Final 5 min
48.0%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
46.0%▼
49.0%
45.8%
Norris
54.0%▲
51.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2026 | 3 | 16:57 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 3 | 11:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 3 | 00:14 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 2 | 16:58 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 2 | 16:49 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 2 | 12:07 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 2 | 12:02 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 2 | 05:41 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 2 | 01:54 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 2 | 01:49 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 1 | 15:05 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 1 | 14:49 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Feb 27, 2026 | 1 | 10:21 | Defensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 2 | 16:35 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 2 | 08:40 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 3 | 12:55 | Neutral | Evan Rodrigues |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 2 | 17:20 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 1 | 16:22 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 1 | 00:44 | Offensive | Evan Rodrigues |