Scouting Report
Evan Rodrigues holds a +11.0% FO% edge overall. Rodrigues wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rodrigues 47.1% vs Hayes 42.7% (+11.0%)
Offensive zone
Hayes 55.1%
Defensive zone
Rodrigues 63.2%
Neutral zone
Hayes 50.1%
Result
Evan Rodrigues favored at 52.7%
52.7%
47.3%
Rodrigues
Hayes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rodrigues
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
47.8% (651)
31.9% (91)
+15.9%
Power Play
47.2% (72)
64.3% (14)
-17.1%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (68)
0.0% (1)
+36.8%
On penalty kill, Rodrigues has a +36.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Rodrigues is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (588).
Rodrigues shoots right. Hayes is 31.3% vs right-shot opponents (48).
Home / Away
Rodrigues
Hayes
Home
47.9% (445)
30.6% (49)
Away
45.4% (346)
40.4% (57)
By Period
Rodrigues
Hayes
P1
48.3%
22.9%
P2
47.0%
40.0%
P3
44.8%
44.4%
Final 5 min
50.3%
30.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rodrigues
46.0%▼
49.0%
46.8%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
35.8%